Tuesday 19 June 2018

My Greatest Fear: Currency War

The worst thing that I think can happen during the Trade War is the decision by China to devalue its currency.
The last time it happen in 2015 and 2016, the world stock market took a plunge. 
China is our major trading partner, and since RMB is devalued, companies earning RMB will earn less relative to SGD. 
Asian exports to China will become more expensive. Hence Asian goods and services will become less competitive.
This explains why the market plunge in 2015 and 2016.

Can this lead to a Recession? I really don't know. It's too early to tell.

My view is to Trade and Invest with Caution.




2 comments:

  1. Thanks for the update!
    Will definitely keep your advice in mind

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  2. Dow tumbles more than 500 points, wipes out gain for the year to cap wild week on Wall Street.
    Forex trading tips

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